SUPER TYPHOON HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 008 Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday 05 December 2014 Next Update: Friday Afternoon, 05 December 2014 Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon HAGUPIT (RUBY) continues to gradually weaken as it maintains its west-northwest track across the Philippine Sea...remains a serious threat to Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. The potential landfall area of this cyclone is along the southern part of Eastern Samar, between 8 PM - 12 MN, Dec 06 (Saturday). This super typhoon will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon beginning Friday...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions. CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...Dec 05. Classification/Name: STY Hagupit (Ruby) Location: Over central part of the Philippine Sea (near 11.6N 129.9E) About: 455 km east-northeast of Siargao Island...or 490 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 250 kph near the center...Gustiness: 305 kph 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 150 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa) Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,005 km (Medium) Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 140 km from the Center Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph Forecast Movement: West @ 11 kph Towards: Samar 2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK* STY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to move westward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, STY Hagupit (Ruby) will be traversing the west-central part of the Philippine Sea and moving closer to the coast of Eastern Samar by Saturday...crossing the southern part of Samar Island through Sunday early morning. STY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue losing strength throughout the outlook period as it interacts with the cool dry air of the Northeast Monsoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 215 kph by Sunday early morning. The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system: SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its weakening phase while moving slowly across the Philippine Sea...about 250 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [5AM DEC 06: 11.7N 127.7E @ 220kph]. SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Downgraded into a Typhoon after making landfall along the southern coast of Eastern Samar...about 35 km west of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [5AM DEC 07: 11.6N 125.1E @ 215kph]. MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it turns to west-northwest...traversing along the southern edge of Masbate towards Romblon...about 25 km east-southeast of Romblon [5AM DEC 08: 12.5N 122.5E @ 195kph]. STORM SURGE Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 4-5.5 m (13-18 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Bicol Region beginning Saturday morning onwards. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Surigao del Norte, Rest of Visayas, Ragay Gulf, Visayan Sea and Eastern Luzon.
Posted on: Fri, 05 Dec 2014 05:16:32 +0000
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