WTPZ34 KNHC 240536 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IVO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 1100 PM PDT FRI AUG 23 2013 ...HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.4N 112.2W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS * THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST. IVO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IVO WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS...BUT WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER THAT TIME. IVO IS A LARGE CYCLONE...AND THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT AND ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL...IVO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IVO ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND ON SATURDAY...AND ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN For more information, go to middletnweather.info
Posted on: Sat, 24 Aug 2013 05:37:31 +0000
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