-ENC-Extreme Weather Team Extreme Weather Lab Tropical Update- -Tropical Update- September 19, 2014 Tropical Weather Outlook.... Picture 1: __________________________________ 1. Tropical Storm Edouard Picture: 2, 3, 4, 5. BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1100 PM AST THU SEP 18 2014 ...EDOUARD STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.9N 39.2W ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM WNW OF FAYAL ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST. EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A SLOWER EASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY FRIDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND NONE. _________________________________ 2. Invest 95L Picture 6, 7. A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located just off of the west coast of Africa. Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, and any development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. __________________________________ 3. Area of Intrest... Picture 8. A broad area of low pressure could form off of the east coast of Florida over the weekend. This system will have some potential to acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics while it moves northeastward near or offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Stay Tuned To: ENC-EXTREME WEATHER- EXTREME TROPICAL WEATHER LAB For your Tropical Update......
Posted on: Fri, 19 Sep 2014 06:37:45 +0000
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