10 Central Factors to predicting the 2014 General Elections outcomes per constituency 1. Party membership base per constituency (registered to vote) 2. National Party Leadership quality (As perceived by the public) 3. Organisational brand & reputation (Do people identify with the brand easily, in their minds) 4. Organisational and Administrative capacity/prowess 5. The BCP-Saleshando factor (Strength and Weaknesses) 6. The UDC-Boko-Factor (Strength and Weaknesses) 7. The BDP-Khama factor (Strength and Weaknesses) 8. The 2009 elections results 9. Candidates qualities 10. Current Political, Socio-Economic status prevailing Anyone who dare predict the outcomes of the 2014 elections must consider these factors. Well, another factor that can be considered is the LAST LAP of party campaigns leading to the Election Day, BUT note that this campaign (last lap) mostly speaks to the UNDECIDED voters, while a bulk of voters would have long decided which party to vote (based on the 10 above factors) In consideration of these above factors, I contend, the BCP will come out of this election BIG, Considerably!
Posted on: Tue, 21 Oct 2014 09:01:47 +0000
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