2014 DEC 04 05gmt: Western North Pacific: TC 22W-Hagupit. NO - TopicsExpress

2014 DEC 04 05gmt: Western North Pacific: TC 22W-Hagupit. NO COMMENT! usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2214.gif My high resolution FY2E images: forum.lixium.fr/v-1855485563.htm forum.lixium.fr/v-1855485562.htm 2014 DEC 04 03gmt: Dvorak: 0230gmt: pgtw:T7.5/7.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS DT=7.5 knes:T7.5/7.5/D2.5/24HRS DT=7.5 A SIX HOUR AVERAGE DT WAS CALCULATED TO BE 7.33 WHICH WAS ROUNDED TO 7.5 TO REFLECT THE INCREASING TREND IN DT. THIS JUSTIFIES BREAKING THE RULE WHICH LIMITS CHANGES IN THE FT TO 2.0 IN 18 HOURS. FT IS BASED ON RAPID INTENSIFICATION. ADT(raw): average (2130z/0330z):7.3 MY ESTIMATE: Dvorak: CI=7.5 at 04/DEC 03gmt,intensifying. 1mn winds:155KT 10mn winds:136KT CAT(Asutralian):5 fix: 10.2N/133.1E Cheers, PH.

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