2014: the year of change fat 2014: the year of change fat facebook twitter google + email January 2nd, 2014 5 Comments By: JJ Nieves JJ Nieves In the next twelve months the Cubans did not experience a quantum leap in their lives, even without notice, will be participating in real changes in the economy. I think Eduardo López Bastida, or Kuten, as he is known at the University of Cienfuegos, a conviction economist who began his career as a chemical engineer, became a doctor in this field, a masters degree in energy and the environment and the other in integrated coastal zone management. One day I liked the economy and went to live it, to defend the other side of that coin: who cares about the environment and social equity. Thanks to the environmentally focused economy is that I see the explanation to the perceptions of people about slow changes which we live. We are in a process that not only speaks of economic changes, but at the same time trying to preserve social equity and care for nature. Becoming keeping balance in these three items takes longer to introduce legislation pure and simple market, he says. And it may be right if we look at China, with its polluted environment and its large debts. To Kuten the mistakes of Soviet socialism and classical Marxism were copied in Cuba and still must be overcome. The main mistake was that we wanted to make socialism in distribution and not production. But if you do not produce, what will you distribute? He says, while sound, hard cash after that statement, the more than $ 300 million left to export in this 2013, for breaches of domestic manufacturing. To illustrate his views, López Bastida frequently resorts to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Cubas GDP is held by 70% of services (tourism, international partners and ETECSA) which returns to its very vulnerable to the vagaries of the rest of the world economy. On the morning of December 30 the professor pauses in the preparation of an article on lay spirituality and the gifts in the XXI century, with which wants to participate in the Think contest Countercurrent, which he won in the 2012. We again talk about the economy. On your marks, get set .... López Bastida seen as a logical consequence of the ongoing transformation and rapid growth experienced creative private micro (as he prefers to call the self-employed). In doing further evidence showing slow recurrent state entrepreneurship and its tremendous lack of autonomy to make decisions, a reality that the researcher expected to begin to change as they move from the experiments by applying 2014, by which managers and their boards of directors may invest part of their profits as they see fit, without having to refer to their ministries or wait for the Economy to monetize any resources you have stopped. The production stage is for the country as a Kuten track. The state is the Jamaican sprinter Usain Bolt. The self cooperatives and joint ventures are other runners. If Bolt is not prepared, the other racers will earn. What is the idea? That Bolt, as a state company, give sufficient conditions to be provided, the pointer of the race. And to reaffirm the need to untie the ropes to Bolt, remember that reliable calculations estimated at two billion dollars remittances entering the country each year, of which 60% is intended to encourage small independent businesses. The dietary supplement state corridor would be foreign investment, says the researcher. It is essential that for a country to flourish must devote 25% of its GDP to investments in infrastructure (telephones, roads, internet) and we spend only 9%. A source of fresh currency should be the economic zone of Mariel. Some people are comparing the Mariel opening to the time when thousands of French settlers migrated to eastern Cuba fleeing the Haitian Revolution. At a stroke the island received investment and talent, and that many now expect the northern port, said the academic. Anyway, confirms, it is early to much hope created and as said President Raul Castro, Cuba must diversify their sources of income, as it is not expected that the port of Mariel is like a hand of Midas miraculous than a again touch us rich. Selling croquettes in a corner not a country develops. The Cuban social imaginary has put the small private entrepreneur as a potential paradigm almost instant success. The reality is putting things in place, as though every time the number of employed persons assets is closer to half a million people, are also counted by thousands the number of those who have given the licenses. It also happens that the tax law released in 2013 reaches its first anniversary pulling nails. Hundreds of owners discussed (even in court) the amounts in thousands of pesos considered the National Tax Administration Office (Onat) as income not declared, without any inspector in person has studied the behavior of commercial business. To Cienfuegos economist, the path of development is not in the small private property, but in the union of various types of property. You Selling croquettes in a corner not a country develops, but also with more complex activities need not be in the hands of state administration. Thats where I see the most suitable for non-agricultural cooperative scenario, which will grow significantly in 2014 and 2015, he says. To remember the two argued incentives decided by the government to promote this form of management: the halving of the tax burden to be paid with respect to cooperatives and independent of the first priority access to the wholesale market. In starting already be in place. It will also continue marching publicized monetary unification, but during the next 365 days that will be an issue in construction, says the doctor. Even in 2015 I see that the problem is solved in the public sphere, what people see. First they must be resolved distortions caused by the change of 1 for 1 used by the business sector and then acting on 1 is a 25 CADECAs. Yes, I think people will be indirect beneficiaries of increased efficiency in companies that apply the setting. The most important and started coming steps will generate, according Kuten, some perceptions of improved quality of life; But lets be real, with growth of 2.2% in GDP, as is being advertised, I do not think increase markedly anything, because to see a real impact we need a growth between 6 and 8%. One such area where not improve the quality of life is related to food, agriculture dependent not just take off. Just this year he held 2.2% of GDP, to show a real impact should occupy the 10th Foul promote more incentive to release more productive forces; although I think it should also appeal to the conscience of the peasants, to fulfill commitments to the state because many in what they are thinking is to leave them alone the special period, says the professor. Such practices also color a mixed picture that reflects Cuba in the hours before the 2014 economy, where the future of a model still in conceptualization is decided, come changes fat believes Kuten, and will have a whole year to be confirmed or refuted. Related Articles
Posted on: Sat, 09 Aug 2014 02:38:40 +0000
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