ANALYSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 1300Z 15 MAR 2014 THE ANALYSIS SHOWS ONE Tropical Wave One Tropical wave that is located at 35.00 N 75.00 W to 32.00 N 77.00 W ...THE GULF OF MEXICO... BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO. A MIDDLE LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE COAST OF LOUISIANA. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...JUST TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE MARACAIBO...ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO CENTRAL NICARAGUA...TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 34N65W...TO 32N70W TO 30N78W... ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA...INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...TOWARD THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 20N. FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N TO THE WEST OF 87W/88W... LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT KGVX. MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING OBSERVED AT...KVBS...KSPR...KMDJ...AND IN THE COASTAL PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...INCLUDING KDLP...K9F2...AND BOOTHVILLE. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG IS BEING REPORTED AT KBBF ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA... LOW CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAINS. RAIN STARTS FROM BAY CITY AND ANGLETON/LAKE JACKSON TO THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA. SOME LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND MOSTLY MIDDLE LEVEL AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS COVER COASTAL LOUISIANA/ EXTREME SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND PATCHY RAIN COVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA. LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM MARIANNA TO THE PANAMA CITY METROPOLITAN AREA. LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING OBSERVED ALSO IN FLORIDA FROM PUNTA GORDA TO THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORT MYERS METROPOLITAN AREA. ...THE CARIBBEAN SEA... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...JUST TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE MARACAIBO...ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO CENTRAL NICARAGUA...TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE MOVING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 15/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.30 IN TRINIDAD AND 0.15 IN GUADELOUPE. THE MONSOON TROUGH DOES NOT EXIST IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AT THIS MOMENT. ANY RAINSHOWERS THAT MAY BE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ARE RELATED TO TRADE WIND FLOW AND CLUSTERS OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS. ...HISPANIOLA... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...JUST TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE MARACAIBO...ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO CENTRAL NICARAGUA...TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. A STATIONARY FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THROUGH 22N64W TO 20N71W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 58W AND 72W ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST/IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA. EARLIER MULTILAYERED CLOUDS THAT WERE WITHIN 130 NM OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING WITH TIME...COMPARATIVELY SPEAKING. CONDITIONS AND CURRENT WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN LA ROMANA...AND IN SANTIAGO. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN SANTO DOMINGO. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA AND IN PUERTO PLATA. FEW LOW CLOUDS COVER BARAHONA. FEW LOW CLOUDS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PORT-AU- PRINCE IN HAITI. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHWESTERLY- WESTERLY-TO NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA... WITH A CARIBBEAN SEA RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA THE GFS-MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WESTERLY-TO-NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS THE AREA...WITH AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO- NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...WITH A CUBA-TO-NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA/ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.
Posted on: Sat, 15 Mar 2014 23:36:59 +0000
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