An e.g. of my event forecasting, when I get it wrong, take this for example: fax machines are pervasive. In reality, theyre nearly obsolete. The number-one thing they got wrong was the dominance of fax machines in 2015, Glen Hiemstra, founder Futurist, told Newsweek. That’s characteristic of a common forecasting pitfall, which is to overestimate the importance of something that is dominant in the current time. Fax machines were relatively new in the late ’80s.
Posted on: Sat, 03 Jan 2015 01:29:32 +0000