As I have been reviewing weather model runs and forecast language, from the Storm Prediction Center, I am becoming more confident the significant severe weather threat is shifting to our south. This does NOT mean our severe weather threat is zero, just that it appears the atmosphere in our area will not be as conducive to severe storms, as it is to our south, in Oklahoma and Arkansas. The front looks to have slowed a bit, therefore; the arrival of storms is more likely late Sunday night, into Monday. The graphics below, with the percentages noted, indicate the probabilities of hail, tornadoes, and damaging winds within 25 miles of any given point. As you can see, the Four State Region is still in the low probability ranges for all modes of severe weather, so you should still monitor the weather later tonight (Sunday) and tomorrow (Monday), although I feel the threat is not terribly high,at this time. I will be reviewing the forecast, later today, and will update you with any changes. Be Weather Aware! #dopplerdouglas
Posted on: Sun, 12 Oct 2014 07:00:07 +0000
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