“As long as we’re talking about probabilities, then - TopicsExpress



          

“As long as we’re talking about probabilities, then theoretically you can’t rule out the possibility – however remote – that this could occur by chance. However, if I bet you a thousand dollars that I could flip a coin and get heads 50 times in a row, and then I proceeded to do it, you wouldn’t accept that. You’d know that the odds against that are so improbable – about one chance in a million billion – that it’s extraordinarily unlikely to happen. The fact that I was able to do it against such monumental odds would be strong evidence to you that the game had been rigged. And the same is true for the fine-tuning of the universe: Before you’d conclude that random chance was responsible, you’d conclude that there is strong evidence that the universe was rigged. That is, designed. “I’ll give you another illustration. Let’s say I was hiking in the mountains and came across rocks arranged in a pattern that spelled out WELCOME TO THE MOUNTAINS, ROBIN COLLINS. One hypothesis would be that the rocks just happened to be arranged in that configuration, maybe as the result of an earthquake or rockslide. But an alternate hypothesis would be that my brother, who was visiting the mountains before me, arranged the rocks that way. Quite naturally, most people would accept the brother theory over the chance theory. Why? Because it strikes us as supremely improbable that the rocks would be arranged that way by chance, but not at all improbable that my brother would place them in that pattern. That’s a quite reasonable assumption. “In a similar way, it’s supremely improbable that the fine-tuning of the universe could have occurred at random, but it’s not at all improbable if it were the work of an intelligent designer. So it’s quite reasonable to choose the design theory over the chance theory. We reason that way all the time. Were the defendant’s fingerprints on the gun because of a chance formation of chemicals or because he touched the weapon? Jurors don’t hesitate to confidently conclude that he touched the gun if the odds against chance are so astronomical.” -Dr Robin Collins.
Posted on: Mon, 21 Apr 2014 11:07:52 +0000

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