Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook: 000 ABNT20 KNHC 142342 TWOAT - TopicsExpress

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook: 000 ABNT20 KNHC 142342 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT SEP 14 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE INGRID...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS FORMED WELL NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN FIVE DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE REACHES WARMER WATERS. && FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

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