… Behind political bargains, perversities and lies, it was very difficult to see the reality and seriousness of the move which had an unprecedented importance for the future of our country.Which however, has not ended to the outlined result, but has already achieved a certain irreversibility. In Armenia a new political reality is being formed in a targeted way, whose basic characteristic as from its structural view is the formation and verification of the theoretically capable ruling pyramid by the ruling elite. Months before and after the parliamentary elections, individuals and organizations who process and realize the politics of the ruling wing have successfully disjointed and definitively neutralized the ANC as a major and basic obstacle in the way of the formation of the planned pyramid. The seven parliamentary members of the ANC party with their disordered staff and with the absence of a unified ideology, not now, and not in the visible future will be able significantly affect on our inner political facts. The initiative by Mr. Ter-Petrosyan to establish “Armenian National Congress” party, however, will result to a new crisis in that wing, because it will result to a harsh struggle between the remaining members of the previous ANC and the new activists and powers of the new ANC in surveillance of the parliamentary activities. This struggle may also paralyze the activities of this party, which may seem normal, but efficiently will decrease the image and the potential of the newly appeared activists and their parties. In my opinion, as to the planned scenario, in the political and ruling system of RA the basic acting rule is kept for the ARP, PA and ARF (Dashnakcutun). These political powers today control the ruling and economical levers and in this respect may be for the first time in Armenia the parliament has the most favorable classification of powers, to accomplish an efficient inner and outer politics. The proportionality of today’s parliamentary powers will give the possibility to the ruling Republican party to recline on the formed “opposition” wing “Prosperous Armenia” and ARF in solving the most important and the most risky inner and outer political problems, the real and firm base of this collaboration will be, in the economic field, the commonalities and inviolability of the economical profit of the mentioned political powers and their individual members. In the tri-unification of the parties, a special and permanent “official” state of opposition will be restricted to the ARF role, if RPA and PA during tranquil processes, may substitute each other at the ruling wheel, then the ARF, which is not only a pan Armenia, but in the world scale is a pan Armenian structure, having very strict inner ruling functions and levers, it will be difficult for the next fifteen years to have the perspective of becoming a major political actor. This kind of development for our inner political process should unequivocally and easily evaluated positively, if on one hand reasonable concerns did not arouse about individual and professional qualification abilities of the leaders of the mentioned powers, and in the other hand if they did not contain systematic potential dangers, which in a short time period may create serious challenges to the state security and to its normal development. This is a part of my political whether forecast for Armenia, published on 10.02.2013 (just a week before presidential election). “The aftermath of our “elections”
Posted on: Tue, 21 Oct 2014 17:49:08 +0000
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