February 4, 2014: Morning thread number 1: WINTER STORM MOVING INTO THE REGION... Dont forget your friends to the page and SHARE the information Roads could get bad FAST today in some counties. I would say err on the side of caution. Get home and stay home. Precipitation will move in rapidly and out rapidly. This is a quick hitting storm - most of the precipitation will fall this afternoon. Precipitation will move in as soon as this morning for southwest counties - that includes areas like Sikeston, Cario, Wickliffie, southwest Kentucky counties near the river. Then it will RAPIDLY spread north and east. Dont be caught off-guard in this one. Ice is no fun to drive in. I hope schools dont wait to late to close. A lot are already closed. I cant imagine school buses caught in this event. It would not be pretty. I have been leaning colder for this storm for a few days now, as many of you know. However, there have been uncertainties for a couple of rows of counties. All data this morning now suggest the leaning cold idea was the right idea. A significant snow, sleet, and freezing rain event is about to get underway in the area. There will still be some wavering of the 32 degree line. The consensus among most forecasters is that much of the region will experience wintry weather today. The snow and sleet line has been moved further south and east. The freezing rain line remains close to where I thought it would be. AT LEAST that is how it appears right now. Even while the storm is evolving there remain a few questions. This is especially true in the counties near the Ohio River and then south and east by 2 counties -- or so. There is a chance that Graves, Calloway, and the KY Lake area also remain mostly frozen. I believe parts of that area will go above freezing. BUT, if they dont go above freezing then an ice storm will occur. Hopefully everyone took my advice and planned for ice and hope for rain. Areas that still have ice on the trees and power lines from the previous storm may add to that accumulation today. Short term power outages are likely in areas with the heaviest ice. The good news is that the snow and sleet line may be a little further east and south by a county or two. Some data even suggests that Cape Girardeau, Vienna, northern Pope County north and west of there could see snow. Not sure if snow will be the main precipitation type for Cairo - Metropolis _ Paducah. Leaning ice in those areas. However, a storm like this ALWAYS has surprises. Thus, being prepared route was the right route to take. I got you to this point :) - and we had a lot of fun threads discussing this event. Dont overwhelm me too much (it is 5 am now) with questions. I will post information in this thread. I will post you some tracking tools - my winter weather radar tools. Dont forget the interactive radars have a WINTERIZE button feature. You can turn on the type of precipitation falling button. That tells you what SHOULD be falling from the sky. In a messy winter storm it inst perfect, but close. Please report your precipitation type. Dont tell me it is sleeting here! Tell me its 1 pm and it is sleeting in Wickliffe, KY - Ballard County. That way I quickly can remember where you are at without looking it up. Let me know when roads get bad. Very cold air arrives for Thursday night and Friday night - single digit air possible for some of us. Esp areas with a lot of snow. The weekend winter storm looks less impressive on the new data. So, we have just been watching that on the back burner. Will continue to do so. Good luck everyone - some of you will lose power today. Winter Radars weatherobservatory/weather-radar.htm
Posted on: Tue, 04 Feb 2014 11:22:28 +0000
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