Friday, 8/8/14 12:15PM: Clouds and rain. Thats the 5-day forecast. Have a good week. :-) If only things were that simple, but as usual, the truth lies in the details. A large, low-pressure system is hovering south of our area, and its in no hurry to go anywhere. Over the next few days it should slow down, reorganize itself, and hang out through at least Sunday or Monday. Models show us continuing to feel its influence through at least Tuesday (and perhaps beyond). So what does this amount to? For today, tonight, and most of Saturday, the low will mostly impact our southern regions. There could be a shower or thunderstorm north of I-70, but they wont be nearly as common. Clouds will be seen across most of our area even when its not raining...with a bit more sun in the far north. Rain will mostly stay south of I-70. and even more focused south of S.R. 725 through Saturday mid-day. Thats when things should slowly start to drift northeast. By Saturday night into Sunday, rain will move north into the rest of our area, but should remain spotty. The high today should reach around 75°, and Saturday and Sunday should both reach around 80° Many questions enter the forecast Sunday through Tuesday with some models showing the low stopping over our area, and dumping round after round of rain somewhere near or within our region. Others show a progression off to the east without much rain for us. For that reason Im not going to put much emphasis on anything beyond this weekend at this point, because while rain looks probable Monday into Tuesday, I am not confident whether were looking at scattered showers, or widespread downpours. I could cop out and just say 30% chance or whatever, but the truth is, nobody knows for sure. So just be advised that rain MIGHT happen Tuesday through Thursday as well. Through this entire unsettled period, thunderstorms will be possible, though widespread severe weather is NOT anticipated. Areas that see rain could see a LOT of rain, as all models suggest that whatever moves through our area wont be moving very quickly. With that said, models continue to suggest that the bulk of the rain should take place south and east of our region, and that we have no better than a 40-50% chance of rain any given day or night through Tuesday. It is impossible to say right now who is going to see rain this weekend, and who is going to just see clouds. The further south and east you are (Wilmington), the better your chances for rain. The further north and west you are (Celina), the lower your chances for rain. That should remain the case for the entire weekend. ...Ill have an update by tomorrow morning when model runs refresh. [Dan]
Posted on: Fri, 08 Aug 2014 16:14:46 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015