****Gonzalo Now A Cat 4 Hurricane***** ****A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA*** ***A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.*** Given the recent satellite trends, it seems that Gonzalo has completed the earlier eyewall replacement cycle. Some additional fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 12 hours while Gonzalo remains over SSTs around 29C. Gradual weakening is forecast through 36 hours while SSTs slowly cool along the track and the shear begins to increase, and Gonzalo is expected to remain a dangerous hurricane as it passes near Bermuda on Friday. After 36 hours, faster weakening is shown as Gonzalo becomes post-tropical and then gradually decays as an extratropical cyclone late in the period. The new NHC intensity forecast is a little above most of the guidance in the short term and then trends toward the LGEM model while Gonzalo remains a tropical cyclone. Gonzalo is a dangerous hurricane and all interests in Bermuda should be monitoring the cyclone carefully. All preparations should be rushed to completion. #gonzalo #bermuda #hurricane Tropical Models and Forecast Track: joesdiscoweathercentral/Model1.html Tropical Updates Fresh and Up To Date: joesdiscoweathercentral/Tropical_Web_Forecasts.html Full Coverage from Hurricane Central: joesdiscoweathercentral/Joe_s_Disco_Hurricane_Page.html
Posted on: Thu, 16 Oct 2014 14:13:11 +0000
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