HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 100 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151200- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 100 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...ENDING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON GOING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS PARKED NEAR FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON. AS IT DOES...THE COMBINATION OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND WEAK TO MODEST INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN INCREASED SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS. SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...GENERALLY ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY SEP 15. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO LATE NEXT WEEK. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE...AT LEAST ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESSENTIALLY ANY DAY. THE BETTER CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD AND PERHAPS HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY MORNING. $$ MA/JTK
Posted on: Sat, 14 Sep 2013 23:21:20 +0000
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