HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1200 PM CDT MON OCT 28 2013 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-291200- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 1200 PM CDT MON OCT 28 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. ANY SEVERE STORMS THAT OCCUR ARE EXPECTED TO BE NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM ELK CITY TO FAIRVIEW AND MEDFORD. DISCUSSION... A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS...WITH A DEVELOPING DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLES. EAST OF THESE FEATURES...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW MOIST AIR TO STREAM NORTHWARD OVER THE REGION. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE AREA AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL COULD MOVE INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA TOWARD EVENING AND MOVE EASTWARD. BY LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT... SCATTERED STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AS A LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY OCT 29. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IS STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. HIGH RAIN TOTALS MAY LEAD TO FLOODING PROBLEMS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM TUESDAY. $$
Posted on: Mon, 28 Oct 2013 18:44:50 +0000
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