Here are the wind speed probabilities for Gonzalo. The forecast - TopicsExpress

Here are the wind speed probabilities for Gonzalo. The forecast cone really doesnt tell you anything, so I prefer to focus on this. The first map is the chance for winds greater than 58 mph. Right now there is a high chance for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. The second map is for hurricane force winds (74 mph or greater). Even though the 10-20% doesnt seem high, it is fairly significant. Hence a hurricane watch is in effect for these areas.

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