However, at the Breakthrough Forum 2014, David Spratt, a climate expert from Climate Code Red [climatecodered.org/2014/07/no-carbon-budget-left-to-burn.html#more] argued that there is a high likelihood that there is no carbon budget left (the amount of emissions civilization can emit to stay below a 2°C target). Further he argues that the 2°C is not a safe target, which is in line with the conclusions of many climate experts and climate scientists. 2C carbon budget and probability of success David Spratt, points out the following problems with the 2°C target: Boundary between dangerous and very dangerous 1°C warmer than human civilisation has ever experienced Tipping points (e.g. Arctic sea ice, West Antarctica) have already been passed at just 0.8°C of warming. West Antarctica a game changer, one of many surprises. Other irreversible tipping points likely at less than 2°C. Sea-level rise likely in tens of metres Many ecosystem lost (e.g. Arctic, corals) Nations disappear and mass loss of human life Listen to David Spratt’s presentation, or read his full presentation: climatestate/2014/07/05/study-2c-target-at-risk-without-moving-subsidies/
Posted on: Mon, 07 Jul 2014 02:04:10 +0000
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