Jack Jones Free Play Washington Nationals -124 The Washington Nationals are showing solid value as a small home favorite over the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday. Rarely will you get the chance to back Gio Gonzalez at this generous of a price at home, and well take advantage today. Gonzalez is having another fine season, going 6-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.212 WHIP over 14 starts. The left-hander has gone 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA at home, and 2-1 with a 1.25 ERA in his last three starts. Gonzalez is also 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee. Yovani Gallardo is having a solid year for Milwaukee, going 5-5 with a 3.68 ERA in 19 starts, but he is consistently overvalued because of it. Gallardo has come back down to reality of late, going 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in his last three starts. Plus, the right-hander is 3-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in nine career starts against Washington. Gonzalez is 25-8 (+14.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Gonzalez is 70-29 (+30.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career. Gonzalez is 18-3 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. Monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor
Posted on: Sun, 20 Jul 2014 15:39:24 +0000
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