M-Class Solar Flaring Ramping Up On February 2nd, 2014: TESIS Sun Flare Monitor (GOES-15) shows that we took a total of 9 Solar Flares yesterday, with all but one of them coming from Beta-Gamma-Delta Active Region 1967. There were two M-Class Solar Flares yesterday with the first being a M1.0-Class Flare out of AR 1967 at 01:25 UTC and the second of M3.0-Class Flare intensity from Sunspot 1967 at 07:23 UTC. So far today TESIS is showing 3 separate M-Class Solar Flares: a M2.6-Flare out of Beta-Gamma AR 1968 at 06:34 UTC, a M2.2-Class Flare out of AR 1967 at 08:20 UTC and a M4.4-Class Solar Flare at 09:31 UTC. M-Class Flaring is expected to continue with a 15% chance of X-Flares over the next 48 hours. ACE Solar Wind Telemetry shows the speed (yellow) up around 375 km/s, while the density (orange) is over 2 protons/cm^3. Still waiting on the January 30th CME eruptions glancing blow at Earth… According to NOAAs Solar Wind Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to continue at nominal levels through approximately mid day on Day 1 (02 Feb), when a glancing blow from the 30 Jan CME is expected to enhance the solar wind... The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet through approximately mid-day on day 1 (02 Feb) with the expected arrival of a glancing blow from the 30 Jan CME. Unsettled to minor storm (G1-Minor) levels are expected for the latter half of day 2. Quiet to active conditions are expected on day 2 (03 Feb) as CME effects continue into the early hours of the period before returning to mostly quiet levels by day 3 (04 Feb). Eyes open, keine Panik. Happy groundhogs day! Source: swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/forecast_discussion.txt Image Sources: tesis.lebedev.ru/en/sun_flares.html swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html Daily News: suspicious0bserverscollective.org/daily-news.html Evening News: suspicious0bservers.org/premium/ TESIS The Sun Shines for Everyone: tesis.lebedev.ru/en/sun_flares.html GONG H Alpha: halpha.nso.edu/ Moscow Neutron Monitor: cr0.izmiran.rssi.ru/mosc/main.htm BARTOL Cosmic Ray: neutronm.bartol.udel.edu//spaceweather/welcome.html U of Maryland Solar Wind Data: umtof.umd.edu/pm/ NOAA Aurora: swpc.noaa.gov/Aurora/ NOAAs Sunspot Classification: swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/SRS.txt Solar Info: lmsal/solarsoft/latest_events_archive.html solen.info/solar/coronal_holes.html
Posted on: Sun, 02 Feb 2014 10:39:03 +0000
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