Rain, Rain, and more Rain... HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY ...HEAVY RAIN EVENT SHAPING UP... WHILE THE QUAD STATE HAS ENJOYED RELATIVE DRY CONDITIONS THIS LATE SUMMER AND EARLY FALL...CHANGE IS ON THE WAY IN OUR NEAR FUTURE. A WET FORECAST IS SHAPING UP...BEGINNING TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND...INTO AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER RAINFALL FORECAST ESTIMATES VARY...BUT OUTLOOK THE QUAD STATE IN A BROAD AND GENERAL RANGE FROM ABOUT 3 INCHES ON A LOW END...TO PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 5 INCHES OR MORE ON THE HIGH END. THESE HIGH END ESTIMATES ARE INCLUSIVE OF RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...OR OVER A 7 DAY TIME PERIOD. THESE ARE LONG RANGE ESTIMATES AND NOT NECESSARILY TO BE TAKEN AS A FIXED FORECAST AMOUNT. FORTUNATELY...DUE TO THE DRY CONDITIONS AND THE FACT THAT THESE RAINS MAY BE SPREAD OUT OVER SEVERAL DAYS TIME PERIOD...IT WOULD APPEAR OUR AREA CAN HANDLE THESE AMOUNTS IF TOO MUCH OF IT DOES NOT FALL IN TOO SHORT A TIME PERIOD. WHAT HAPPENS IS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EVOLVE AND SET UP SOMEWHERE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES AND EXTEND ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS. NUMEROUS WAVES OF ENERGY IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL THEN SHOOT OUT AND OVERTOP THE BOUNDARY...INDUCING STORMS AND RAINFALL...INCLUDING POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINS AT TIMES. WHILE THERE WILL BE RAINFALL FORECAST EACH DAY FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...IT DOES LOOK LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR MOST OF THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO BE REALIZED WILL COME IN TWO MAIN ROUNDS. THE FIRST SUCH ROUND LOOKS TO BE FROM THE LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY TIME FRAME. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A SECOND ROUND OF HEAVIER RAINS EXPECTED DURING THE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY TIME PERIOD. BASICALLY...EACH OF THESE TWO ROUNDS OF RAIN COULD YIELD A COUPLE INCHES OR HIGHER RAINFALL. WHILE WE APPEAR READY TO ABSORB THESE AMOUNTS...THE NWS WILL MONITOR FOR EXCESSIVE RAINS OCCURRING IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WHICH MAY IMPACT FLASHY RIVER POINTS LIKE IN THE MISSOURI OZARKS OR MORE FLOOD PRONE URBANIZED LOCALES. STAY TUNED TO FUTURE NWS WEATHER AND RIVER FORECASTS AND UPDATES...AND PREPARE FOR A WET FORECAST FOR THE COMING 7 DAYS.
Posted on: Thu, 09 Oct 2014 02:25:26 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015