SATELLITE ANALYSIS OF Gulf Of Mexico - Caribbean Sea image shows at 0430 Z MAY 22 2014 the following: TWO Tropical Waves ONE Tropical Wave that is extending from 34.00 N 78.00 W to 31.00 N 83.00 W ONE Tropical Wave that is extending from 30.00 N 55.00 W to 22.00 N 68.00 W ...THE GULF OF MEXICO... CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG COVERS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...MEXICO TO THE EAST OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND FROM NICARAGUA TO HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA...WITH THE MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT PASSES THROUGH THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 26N64W...TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 20N81W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA...TO 28N90W...TO CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AND NORTHWARD BEYOND NORTHERN LOUISIANA ALONG 92W. UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LINE FROM 26N97W THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE IS ALONG 31N60W TO A 1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N72W...ACROSS NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO A 1024 MB GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 29N84W IN THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...BEYOND 31N95W IN EAST TEXAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 88W FROM 25N TO 28N. BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ALSO IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO... MOVING AROUND A 1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 22N97W ALONG THE MEXICO COAST. FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N TO THE WEST OF 88W... FAIR SKIES/CLEAR SKIES AT OR LOWER THAN 12000 FEET ARE BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA. STATION KGUL IS REPORTING A CLOUD CEILING AT 6500 FEET. FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ARE ALONG THE TEXAS GULF COAST. FAIR SKIES/CLEAR SKIES AT OR LOWER THAN 12000 FEET ARE BEING OBSERVED ELSEWHERE. ...THE CARIBBEAN SEA... A WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 26N64W...TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 20N81W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 21N66W...TO THE EASTERN PART OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR 18N69W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...AND WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE WITHIN 200 NM TO 300 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 24N60W 21N70W...TO 17N80W IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...TO 15N89W IN WESTERN HONDURAS. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA...IN AREAS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN SURFACE TRADE WIND FLOW. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 21/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.21 IN GUADELOUPE. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N76W AT THE COAST OF COLOMBIA... TO 8N81W IN PANAMA...BEYOND 9N84W IN SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA FROM 9N TO THE COAST BETWEEN 71W AND 74W. SCATTERED STRONG IN COLOMBIA FROM 7N TO 8N WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 76W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT...NORTHEAST-TO-EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. A SECOND AREA OF CONCERN CONSISTS OF...THE 12-HOUR FORECAST OF NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 67W AND 77W. ...HISPANIOLA... A WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 26N64W...TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 20N81W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 21N66W...TO THE EASTERN PART OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR 18N69W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...AND WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE WITHIN 200 NM TO 300 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 24N60W 21N70W...TO 17N80W IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...TO 15N89W IN WESTERN HONDURAS. CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...RAIN AND MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED IN SANTIAGO AND IN PUERTO PLATA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND OTHER FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVER BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING AND A MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVER SANTO DOMINGO. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND OTHER SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND A MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVER LA ROMANA AND PUNTA CANA. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVERS PORT-AU-PRINCE IN HAITI. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA...WITH AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-BAHAMAS-TO CUBA TROUGH ALONG 80W. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT A CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WITH A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER EITHER RIGHT ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA OR CLOSE TO IT. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH.
Posted on: Thu, 22 May 2014 05:15:37 +0000
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