Scenarios for Egypt: If Morsi does not remain in power, much will depend on how he is removed. Reliance on street mobilization and army intervention to bring down an elected leader who has support on the ground is unlikely to lead to a positive outcome. On the contrary, that pattern – seen in Spain in 1936, Iran in 1953, Chile in 1973, Turkey in 1980, Sudan in 1989, and Algeria and Tajikistan in 1992 – usually leads to military dictatorships, civil wars, or both. But there is also Charles de Gaulle’s precedent of a peaceful exit by an elected president. The massive protests in France in 1968 led to an early parliamentary election, which de Gaulle’s supporters won decisively. But de Gaulle later resigned of his own volition, over an issue of minor importance. Read more at project-syndicate.org/commentary/egyptian-protests-and-the-fate-of-mohamed-morsi-by-omar-ashour#YtgyYIJvXezufRjK.99
Posted on: Tue, 02 Jul 2013 16:53:13 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015