Solar News: Another double peak solar flare in the high Ms this am... (spaceweather has not reported it yet but their real time graph shows us just coming out of it). here is their report on yesterdays double X flares: INCOMING CME: Yesterdays double X-flare may have produced a geoeffective CME after all. At first it appeared that Earth was outside the line of fire, but a closer look at the CME reveals an Earth-directed component. Click to view a movie of the explosion from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory: (see website) The movie shows a faint CME associated with the first X-flare emerging around 1200 UT. A second, brighter CME from the second X-flare quickly overtakes it, forming a cannibal CME. Computer models run yesterday by NOAA analysts suggest the merged storm cloud will reach Earth mid-day on June 13th. The glancing blow could spark polar geomagnetic storms. Meanwhile, more X-flares are in the offing. At least two sunspots (AR2080 and AR2087) have unstable delta-class magnetic fields that could erupt at any moment. The source of yesterdays X-flares, AR2087, is particularly potent, and it is turning toward Earth. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of M-flares and a 30% chance of X-flares on June 11th.
Posted on: Wed, 11 Jun 2014 11:50:32 +0000
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