Srinagar, Dec 20: People’s Democratic Party (PDP) is going to emerge as the single largest party in Jammu and Kashmir, according to PEACS News Services exit poll. PDP is projected to win within a range of 35-40 seats in a House of 87. The BJP may come up second and is projected to win within a range of 25-30 seats. National Conference is projected to win within a range of 8-12 seats while its coalition partner Congress is projected to win within a range of 6-10 seats. ‘Others’ are expected to win 2-5 seats. The five phase polling in Jammu and Kashmir for 87-member Assembly ended on Saturday. In the previous assembly elections, NC had won 28, Congress 17, PDP 21, BJP 11 and ‘Others’ 10 seats. The research was conducted by PEACS News Services Pvt. Ltd in collaboration with Rising Kashmir. The fieldwork for the research was conducted between 25th November to and 20th December with a sample size of 9222. Exit Polls are interviews with voters after they have cast their votes at their polling booth. A sample of 9222 was scientifically selected to collectively represent the state. Every fifth voter exiting the polling booth was given a questionnaire to complete with questions about demographics such as gender, age, caste, and issues related to the person’s vote choice in different contests. The interviewing started when the polls open and continue throughout the day until polls close. PEACS (Platform for Election Analysis & Community Studies) is an organization that analyses day to day activities, voter’s mood and all the other factors related to the elections. PEACS’ methodology, CORAL, is an analysis program that has been fashioned in such a way that it accurately predicts the popular sentiments and also make a course correction if needed be. PEACS’ team consists of people from varied backgrounds comprising of Psephologists, who scientifically analyze antecedent voting data, political nature of each constituency, etc. They are experts in the field of Election Research. They are well versed about the behavioural changes in the public. PEACS team also comprises of sociologists and senior journalists.
Posted on: Sun, 21 Dec 2014 07:35:16 +0000
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