Steve signing in at 8:23 AM. With temperatures mainly in the low 60s, the overnight rains are starting to break up over McDowell, Burke and northern Caldwell Counties and there may even be a little clearing occurring in Old Fort, possibly Marion. Moderate rain continues over Catawba County. I think all the rain is going to gradually shift eastward during the day, leaving us with cloudy skies and maybe a few breaks of sun this afternoon, maybe a few widely scattered thunderstorms. Temperatures will probably stay in the 70s, maybe mid 70s if we see any sun. Right now there is plenty of rotation in the atmosphere. Lucky for us there is next to zero instability, though, so were not facing a severe storm threat. However, over the past few hours, a rotating thunderstorm did develop east of Charlotte over Anson County and moved into Montgomery County. This was a fairly long-lived supercell storm but fortunately, so far, no damage reports. As the current disturbance pulls away to the northeast, the wind shear and rotation eases up over our area but the instability increases a bit so isolated thunderstorms are possible into the evening. Later tonight into Saturday morning, we should see mainly cloudy skies with patches of fog and drizzle as our summertime wedge pattern holds through Sunday. Highs Saturday may be a degree or two higher than today, mid to upper 70s, but another disturbance to our southwest could move in later in the afternoon, bringing us the threat of more showers and thunderstorms into the overnight and early Sunday morning. With mainly cloudy skies we could see more showers and storms Sunday afternoon, upper 70s. By Monday, we are likely to see more sunshine (naturally since its the beginning of the work week) and mainly scattered to widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms, low 80s for highs. Drier conditions and warmer temperatures return through the midweek. With regard to Tropical Storm Bertha--she is getting closer to the Lesser Antilles this morning and a Tropical Storm warning has been issued for the island of Martinique. She is still fighting wind shear and her center is just barely covered with thunderstorms. There is some possibility that the wind shear could relax during the next few days allowing Bertha to intensify as she makes her way into the northeast Caribbean, crosses Puerto Rico or Hispaniola and approaches the Turks and Caicos. The reliable models then take her several hundred miles east of the Florida coast before recurving her northeastward into the open Atlantic between the Carolinas and Bermuda, probably closer to Bermuda. If there would be any threat to the Carolina coastlines at this point, I believe it would be limited to rip currents. However, if anything changes, we here at Burke Weather will let you know.
Posted on: Fri, 01 Aug 2014 12:43:19 +0000
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