Strategic Game: what cards left on table, when one side already opens up all the cards and the other side hasnt opened all its cards yet & prepared for worst case scenarios ? dont talk about military responses, lets talk about economic side only :) 1) Russia & EU lose, US win (to export gas to EU): Gas-leverage: a double-edge, and 6 months more for winter to come, frozen EU, bring the GDP growth to bearish level, or for EU partners to pay at premium price. Make sure Germany to revert to use Nuclear power --> kill Merkel. 2) EU & Ukraine lose, Russia lose/win, IMF won: constantly keep Ukraine under socially unstable and money-bleeding to soak up all aid moneys...both conditional or unconditional aid/funds is to create more tension and unstable. 3) EU lose, Serbia & Russia win/lose: diversify the tension, pushing the conflict away from Russias border, deep into EU zone: use Serbia. 4) Uknown: Sell cheaper gas to Japan, create a dilemma into G7, 5) US & Israel lose, EU lose, Russia win, Iran win, China & India win: Direct opening deal with Iran, even supporting nuclear-armed Iran.
Posted on: Sat, 22 Mar 2014 08:30:42 +0000
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