This is how the probability of JFK-related unnatural deaths is calculated: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution The Probability Formula The only relevant factors are the number of witnesses (N) called to testify, the number (n) who died, the time period (T) and the appropriate mortality rate (R). Given these factors, we have all the information we need to calculate E, the expected number of deaths: E = N * T * R. Given the expected number, the Poisson formula calculates the probability of n deaths: P(n) = E^n * exp(-E) / n! P = Poisson (n, E, false) is the probability function for exactly n deaths. P = 1 – Poisson (n-1, E, true) is the probability function for at least n deaths. This is a sensitivity analysis of unnatural witness deaths. Warren Commission witnesses A total of N=552 witnesses were interviewed. At least 30 died suspiciously (n=18 unnaturally) in the T=15 years from 1964-1978. Only 1 or 2 unnatural deaths is expected. Using the annual national homicide rate (0.000084), we would expect zero or one homicide among the 552 Warren Commission witnesses from 1964-1978. But there were at least 11 homicides. The probability of at least 11 homicides is: P = 1 – Poisson (n-1, E, true) P = 1 – Poisson (10, 0.70, true) P = 2.54E-10 = 1 in 4 billion richardcharnin.wordpress/2013/07/17/jfk-assassination-paradigm-shift-deaths-of-witnesses-called-to-testify/
Posted on: Tue, 30 Dec 2014 13:27:18 +0000