WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Sept 11 at 07:30 am ■ 0 Convection;1 LPA/s;0 Active;1 Possible Threat ■ ⊙ 15W SYSTEM ⊙ → near 10N 140E approx 407 mi. NE of Palau. → WNW in the past hours. → POSSIBLY to enter PAR b/w 12th & 13th. → Heading towards Taiwan on the 16th, but remain THREAT to Luzon. → It COULD reach into near Typhoon Category or Severe Tropical Storm. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON. → 90% confident of 5 days Track. ■■ YELLOW Alert - Monitor the Updates → Central Luzon, Cagayan Valley ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 09 ※ → Status: Continue an Eastward PROGRESSION reaching the Western Pacific by the end of this week. It is WEAK but may be strong enough to make some contribution to tropical weather during the next week or two. → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: When it is located over Southeast Asia & moving eastwards. The risk of TC growth & development will be ELEVATED‘ or INCREASED. → Next MJO Update : Sept 16 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.085 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Color Indicators located at the bottom of each Imagery. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ VERIFY from NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Forecast Tracks. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Wed, 10 Sep 2014 23:33:59 +0000
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