WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Sept 28 at 0730 am ■ 1 Convection;0 LPA/s;2 Active;2 Possible Threat ■ ⊙ 18W System (Tropical Depression) ⊙ → near 12.5N 152.5E, approx. 513 mi. ESE of Guam/367 mi. N of Chuuk State. → WNW to W w/ 15-20kts winds → Heading towards Taiwan-Okinawa(Japan) → Remain a THREAT to Northern Luzon. → Forecast to ENTER PAR b/w 3rd & 4th. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON over Vis-Min. → LIGHT to MODERATE rains, NO SIGNIFICANT rainfall within the Forecast Tracks. → NE MONSOON may affect the movement in next few days. → It will be name as PHANFONE, Local NENENG. ■ YELLOW - Monitoring is Advice → Cagayan Valley including the Extreme Northern Luzon ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 3(PA3) ⊙ → To APPEAR b/w 1st & 2nd, over South China Sea(Inside PAR)/Far West of Mindoro. → INTERACTION w/ 18W SYSTEM, is possible. → Monitoring is advice. ■ GREEN - Monitor the Updates → MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, NCR ⊙ 17W.KAMMURI ⊙ → Follow 17W.KAMMURI Tracks @ philweathersystem.weebly/8857-17wkammuri.html ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 23 ※ → Status: Tropical activity was GENERALLY SUPPRESSED over much of the Australasian region this past week (including the Indian sub-continent), EXCEPT countries surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea (including the Philippines, Taiwan and the southeast coast of China). → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: An INTENSIFICATION of tropical activity in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. → Next MJO Update : Sept 30 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ Thanks to NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Basic Weather Forecasting & Pre-Forecast Tracking. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Sun, 28 Sep 2014 23:45:54 +0000
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