WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Sept 28 at 0730 am ■ 1 Convection;1 LPA/s;1 Active;1 Possible Threat ■ ⊙ 99W SYSTEM ⊙ → STRONG & DEVELOPING System → near 9.5N 158.5E, approx. 181 mi. N of Pohnpei/482 mi. ENE of Chuuk State. → WNW w/ 15-20kts winds → Forecast to ENTER PAR b/w 3rd & 4th. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON over Vis-Min. → LIGHT to MODERATE rains, NO SIGNIFICANT rainfall within the Forecast Tracks. → NE MONSOON may affect the movement of 99W System in next few days. → It will be name as 18W.PHANFONE, Local NENENG. ■ YELLOW - Monitoring is Advice → Central Luzon, Cagayan Valley including the Extreme Northern Luzon ■ GREEN - Monitor the Updates → Eastern Visayas, Bicol, CaLaBaRZon. ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 2(PA2) ⊙ → To APPEAR b/w 28th & 29th, near Palau-Yap area. → Become the WEAK System. ⊙ 17W.KAMMURI ⊙ → Follow 17W.KAMMURI Tracks @ philweathersystem.weebly/8857-17wkammuri.html ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 23 ※ → Status: Tropical activity was GENERALLY SUPPRESSED over much of the Australasian region this past week (including the Indian sub-continent), EXCEPT countries surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea (including the Philippines, Taiwan and the southeast coast of China). → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: An INTENSIFICATION of tropical activity in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. → Next MJO Update : Sept 30 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ Thanks to NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Basic Weather Forecasting & Pre-Forecast Tracking. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Sat, 27 Sep 2014 23:42:47 +0000
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