We still have a stalled front lingering over far southwestern Missouri and radar this morning showed scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms over central to east central and SE Illinois and a few storms over SEMO south of Cape Girardeau. Satellite images show a lot of high and mid level clouds upstream from our district into central Nebraska. Temperatures are in the 50s in most of the region. Well have scattered to broken cloud cover today with low chances for showers and storms over the district from STL through SEMO/SW IL. The moisture from Tropical Storm Simon west of the Baja Spur will add to moisture for our upcoming rain event. Current expectations for the maximum potential widespread rain include around 2 along and on either side of the Missouri/Illinois I-70 corridors with potentially 3-4 for the Missouri Ozarks and the Lakes region. Amounts west of KC drop off to near 1.25 in Topeka KS and further north..there is a rather sharp cutoff to rain amounts with around a quarter inch along the MO/ IA state line. Most of the district looks to see at least an inch with many areas 2+ through Sunday morning. Well continue to monitor the forecast track of this incoming moisture as any north/south shift may change the areas which expect the heaviest rains. Computer model forecasts had been shifting south with each run..but seem to have locked on to the current forecast overnight. This may present flooding concerns for areas that received heavy rains last week including the I-70 (MO)/I-64 (IL) corridor and from parts of the SEMO Ozarks to SW IL. Additional rains aided by moisture from what was western Pacific Typhoon Phanfone (which hit Japan Sunday) is streaking across the Pacific and may help to produce another 1-2 rain Sunday afternoon/Monday evening. The evolution of this next and second rainfall system remains more uncertain.
Posted on: Tue, 07 Oct 2014 13:28:26 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015