Weve entered the 2014 midterm election seasons home stretch, and the latest round of national polling depicts a highly favorable climate for Republicans -- at least on paper. Consider the data weve seen in the last week alone: - The Politico / GWU Battleground poll showed Republicans +4 on the generic ballot, with a double-digit lead in states with competitive Senate races. - The Washington Post / ABC News poll (featuring a whopping D+10 sample) has President Obama plunging to new lows on leadership and foreign policy, with a majority of voters disapproving of his overall job performance and describing his presidency as a failure. Republicans have a three-point generic ballot lead among the likeliest voters (though this survey bucks the trend with a modest Democratic enthusiasm advantage), and lead among independents by 12 points. - CNNs latest poll gives the GOP a four-point generic Congressional ballot lead, a nine-point enthusiasm lead, and a 15-point advantage with independent voters. And then theres this: 52% of registered voters would support a candidate for Congress who opposes Obama, while 39% would support a candidate that backs the president. - A Kaiser Family Foundation poll confirms that twice as many Americans say theyve been personally harmed by Obamacare than helped. By an 11-point margin, voters say theyre more likely to back a candidate supporting the repeal of Obamacare; voters also say theyre less likely to elect a candidate who supports President Obamas agenda by a 16-point margin. The survey shows a tie on the generic Senate ballot among likely voters, with Republicans opening up a significant enthusiasm gap. - The Wall Street Journal / NBC News poll pegs Republicans generic ballot lead at two points with registered voters, an edge that blossoms to 10 points in states with contested Senate races. The GOP leads significantly on key issues: The economy, foreign policy, deficits, taxes, immigration and national defense. The partys 10-point lead on the economy is its largest in nearly two decades in this polling series. The president remains mired at an all-time low in the series (-14).
Posted on: Fri, 12 Sep 2014 14:13:05 +0000
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