What we didnt learn from Sandy ift.tt/18W1T5Q Historically, the worst part of the Atlantic hurricane season stretches from the last part of August through September and October, according to the National Weather Service. In late October 2012, Superstorm Sandy crashed into the northeastern United States, creating extensive damage to parts of New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Massachusetts. Click through the gallery to see more photos of disasterous U.S. hurricanes, and facts from the National Hurricane Center. On September 13, 2008, Ike hit Galveston Island, Texas, as a Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. Little was left standing where this photo was taken in Gilchrist, Texas. Ike was blamed for scores of deaths in the Caribbean and in the United States. Property damage was estimated at $19.3 billion. Unforgettable Hurricane Katrina devastated the Gulf Coast in 2005, making landfall near Buras, Louisiana, on August 29 as a Category 3 storm with maximum winds estimated at 125 mph. Katrina was blamed for more than 1,200 reported deaths in Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida. Estimated property damage: $75 billion, the costliest U.S. hurricane on record. Just weeks after the horror of Katrina, Hurricane Rita collided with the Louisiana coast on September 24, 2005, as a Category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. Ritas massive damage included this washed out road in Cocodrie, Louisiana. August 13, 2004, Hurricane Charley pushed ashore near Captiva Island, Florida, as a Category 4 storm with maximum winds near 150 mph. It devastated Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda, where a recreational vehicle was found resting against a tree. Charley then moved into the Carolinas to do more damage there. Overall, at least 15 people were killed. Estimated damage: $15 billion. On September 6, 2004, Frances made landfall in the Florida Big Bend region as a tropical storm, after peaking in the Caribbean as a Category 4 hurricane with 145 mph winds. The storm spawned more than 100 tornadoes throughout the southeastern and mid-Atlantic states. Frances was blamed for eight deaths -- seven in the United States and one in the Bahamas. U.S. damage was estimated around $8.9 billion. Just three weeks after Frances, on September 26, 2004, Hurricane Jeannes 60-mile-wide eye crossed the Florida coast near Stuart, at virtually the same place Frances made landfall. Maximum winds were estimated at 120 mph. The storm tore apart this auto shop in Sebastian, Florida. Jeanne was blamed for three deaths in Florida, and one each in Puerto Rico, South Carolina and Virginia. On September 16, 2004, Hurricane Ivans maximum sustained winds of 120 mph crashed into Alabama, just west of Gulf Shores, with damage spreading across the region to Milton, Florida, seen here. When it was all said and done, Ivan was blamed for 92 deaths across the United States, Grenada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Venezuela, Cayman Islands, Tobago and Barbados. U.S. damage was estimated at $14.2 billion, the third largest total on record. Hurricane Andrew blasted its way across south Florida on August 24, 1992, as a Category 4 with peak gusts measured at 164 mph. After raking entire neighborhoods in and around Homestead, Florida, Andrew moved across the Gulf to hit Louisiana as a Category 3 hurricane. Andrew is responsible for 23 deaths in the United States and three in the Bahamas. Estimated U.S. damage: $26.5 billion. On August 17, 1969, Camille -- a Category 5 hurricane -- rushed ashore along the Mississippi coast. The storm made trouble even for large ships in Gulfport. Camilles winds, surges and rainfalls caused 256 deaths, including 143 on the Gulf Coast and 113 in related Virginia floods. Three deaths were reported in Cuba. Estimated damage: $1.421 billion. Donna is the only hurricane of record to produce hurricane-force winds in Florida, the Mid-Atlantic states and New England. It crossed Florida on September 11, 1960, as seen in this photo taken in Islamorada Key. Then the hurricane blew into eastern North Carolina as a Category 3 on the 12th, and New England as a Category 3. Donna is blamed for 50 deaths in the United States and hundreds more in the Caribbean. Estimated damage: $387 million in the United States and $13 million elsewhere. The Great Miami Hurricane of 1926 was a Category 4 when it raced across Miami Beach and downtown Miami during the morning hours of September 18. Although its death toll is uncertain, more than 800 people were reported missing, and a Red Cross report lists 373 deaths. If the disaster had occurred in modern times, its estimated cost would be $90 billion. The nations deadliest hurricane was a September storm. On September 8 the Galveston Hurricane of 1900 slammed into Texas. Storm tides of 8-15 feet are largely blamed for the hurricanes estimated 6,000 to 12,000 deaths. Property damage has been estimated at $30 million. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Adam Sobel: The short-term responses to Hurricane Sandy were successful Forecasts were very accurate, FEMA and MTA responded effectively, he says Sobel says the one failure was that it hasnt prompted sufficient concern about climate change Threat of storms, flooding will increase; cities need to prepare now, Sobel says Editors note: Adam Sobel, a professor at Columbia Universitys Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Fu Foundation School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, is an atmospheric scientist who specializes in the dynamics of climate and weather. He studies extreme events -- such as hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, droughts, and heat waves -- and the risks these pose to human society. (CNN) -- Many of our immediate responses to Hurricane Sandy were successful. Scientists accurately forecast the storm; authorities ordered the proper actions; many people heeded the orders; and there was a massive government response in the aftermath. What went most wrong, and continues to go wrong, is our handling of environmental risks in the long term. Even when the present has delivered an unprecedented shock, we still have trouble accepting that the future will bring new ones, unlike those before. It will. Sandy was forecast with remarkable precision. Some models saw the storm coming more than a week ahead of time. Five days before it made landfall, the National Hurricane Center predicted the rest of the storms track confidently, and almost perfectly. Forecasts this accurate are the result of decades of research and development, much of it done by government-funded scientists and engineers. Their remarkable achievement should not be taken for granted. Many aspects of the immediate government response to Sandy were also successful. Having learned from his predecessors failure with Katrina in 2005, President Obama took Sandy seriously from the outset. The Federal Emergency Management Administration had people and assets in place early, and mobilized reinforcements quickly after the storm to bring help to those in need. There were many successes at the local level as well. New Yorks Metropolitan Transportation Authority did a remarkable job restoring subway service so quickly. Our real problems are long-term. Our infrastructure is not prepared for the climate weve had in the past, let alone the one well have in the future. It was clear for years that the New York City subways were dangerously vulnerable to hurricane flooding. Waterproofing was never undertaken. It was considered too expensive a response to a problem that would arrive at an unspecified future time. One of the storms most expensive casualties was the new, half-billion dollar station at South Ferry, built in the flood zone. This is not to single out the MTA. Similar examples line our coastline -- houses and businesses built on the beach and in coastal wetlands, power lines vulnerable to trees that come down even in tropical storm-force winds. The consequences of poor planning will become all the more serious as climate warms and sea level rises. New York City is actually a world leader in urban environmentalism. Mayor Bloomberg and PlaNYCs post-Sandy Proposal for a Stronger, More Resilient New York may be the most serious proposal by any city yet to become more climate-ready. I hope that it survives the end of Bloombergs term, and that we find the funds and political will to implement it, or something like it. But political and economic pressures discourage long-term investment. This is more true at the federal level than the local, and becomes still more frightening when we consider the most large-scale and long-term problem: human-induced global warming itself. Floods like Sandys will become more common as sea level rises. Rain-driven floods like those in Colorado a few weeks ago will also happen more often, as warmer air holds more water vapor. Less dramatic, but perhaps ultimately more harmful, the coolest summers in a hundred years will be hotter than even the hottest summers that have occurred in our lifetimes. This has still not sunk in. It is outside our experience, and hard to grasp. But we know these things will happen. This, too, is a confident forecast. The changes are already under way, results of human greenhouse gas emissions, and consistent with the predictions of climate scientists decades ago. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions takes long-term vision. It also takes faith in science. Science, at its heart, is just the practice of taking reality seriously. Under Obama, the United States has taken some modest measures. But we need to do much more. So far, the long-term costs of inaction have not been taken as seriously as the short-term costs of action. Most disturbing, the primary tactic of those opposed to action has not been to argue about the real costs and benefits, but to pretend that reality is not what it is. We human beings are all a little shortsighted by nature, but there is no excuse for willful ignorance, or for conscious, intellectually dishonest denial. When science delivers a threatening forecast, action is the only responsible course. Our leaders have shown great capacity to act upon a forecast for a Superstorm in a few days time. We need to convince them to take the climate change forecast equally seriously. The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of Adam Sobel.
Posted on: Sat, 26 Oct 2013 14:01:26 +0000
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