Worst case scenerio for widespread and damaging winds thursday looking very likely now. NOW FOR STORM NUMBER THREE...POTENTIALLY A STRONG OR EVEN MAJOR WINDSTORM AFFECTING PARTS OR ALL OF WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY. MODELS PRIOR TO TODAY`S 12Z RUNS WERE NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH. THIS HAS CHANGED WITH THE 12Z RUNS CONVERGING TOWARD A STRONGER WIND EVENT AFFECTING WRN WA INCLUDING THE GREATER PUGET SOUND REGION AND I-5 CORRIDOR. IN FACT...IF SOME MODELS ARE CORRECT...THIS MAY BE A REGIONAL STORM IMPACTING THE W COAST WITH HIGH WINDS FROM NEAR EUREKA CA NWD THROUGH ALL OF WRN OREGON AND WRN WA. VIRTUALLY ALL THE MODELS AGREE THAT RAPID CYCLOGENESIS WILL TAKE PLACE AS A STRONG WAVE REACHES 130W/40N...THEN MAKES A NWD TURN. THE GFS13/40 AND WRF-GFS CONTINUE TO BE THE STRONGEST WITH THIS SYSTEM DRIVING A NEAR 970 MB NWD OFF ASTORIA THURSDAY MORNING...THEN NWD OVER OR JUST W OF PUGET SOUND. THIS WOULD BE A WORSE CASE SCENARIO.
Posted on: Wed, 10 Dec 2014 02:25:13 +0000
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