“A few weeks ago, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio looked like an - TopicsExpress

“A few weeks ago, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio looked like an also-ran. Today, he’s the leader of the pack, and a winner in the runoffs. Follow the bouncing ball, folks. This line-up keeps changing.” – Quinnipiac pollster Maurice Carroll on the latest New York City mayoral poll. And yet, Nate Silver has shown times there can be noise on polls without the state or definition of the race fundamentally changing. The question is whether BDB did anything to solidify this bump, or if it is just movement at the margins while voters flee Weiner and/or look for an unexplored option. Which is to say, I believe he has momentum and is gaining now that he is finally receiving attention, but did anything happen to put him fundamentally in the lead?

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