ABOUT DR. BEN CARSON AS A 2016 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE ...: When Ronald Reagan won a 49 state landslide in 1984 he won the white vote by 20 points - 60/40. When Mitt Romney lost in 2012 he won the white vote by 20 points - 60/40. What happened? The answer is that the demographics of the United States have changed dramatically. Today, there are many more minority voters, and unless the Republicans run a candidate who can appeal to these minority voters they will lose again. But, can Ben Carson actually win over minority voters? Yes, and here’s why. When Herman Cain ran for President in 2012, he was stunned to learn that his internal polls showed him winning more than 40% of the black vote and more than 60% of the Latino vote. As you can imagine, the Cain campaign team was perplexed. How could Herman Cain draw huge support from both the African American and the Hispanic community running against America’s first black president, Barack Obama? It didn’t seem to make any sense. What they concluded was that poor African Americans and poor Latinos saw in Herman Cain a man who had experienced their lot in life - being born into poverty. They believed that he understood their plight and, more important, he understood how to escape poverty and experience economic success. In short, both African Americans and Hispanics identified with Herman Cain. Now, if that’s the case, just imagine how these African Americans and Hispanics will identify with and support Dr. Ben Carson. While businessman Herman Cain was widely respected in the black and Latino circles, it is not an exaggeration to say that Dr. Benjamin Carson is revered in these communities. Every black child has been told the story of Ben Carson, a man born into dire poverty in one of the worst areas of Detroit. For decades, black parents have taught their children about Ben Carson and how he escaped poverty to become one of the world’s leading neurosurgeons. Dr. Ben Carson is an icon in the African American community. Knowing these facts, it is only reasonable to conclude that Ben Carson will win as much or more of the black vote than Herman Cain. But, Ben Carson doesn’t need to win 40% of the African American vote to win. That’s right. If Ben Carson wins just 17% of the black vote in the swing states, no Democrat candidate for President, even Hillary Clinton, can win the White House! Just 17% of the Black Vote! Common sense tells me that based on the fact that Herman Cain was drawing more than 40% of the black vote and more than 60% of the Hispanic vote means that Ben Carson will do even better. But, it takes just 17% of the African American vote to win in 2016. No other Republican candidate for President can win 17% of the black vote. Unless the Republican candidate has standing in the black and Latino communities that pre-dates his political activities, he will not receive African American or Hispanic support, no matter how strong a campaigner he is or how conservative he is.
Posted on: Tue, 12 Aug 2014 20:49:51 +0000
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