AFTERNOON MODEL DISCUSSION REGARDING LATE WEEKEND TO EARLY NEXT - TopicsExpress



          

AFTERNOON MODEL DISCUSSION REGARDING LATE WEEKEND TO EARLY NEXT WEEK SYSTEM... Models are still very ugh when it comes to the next storm system. However, considering that its 4 to 5 days out, theres still a lot of playing room. After this shot of brutal arctic air, another reinforcing shot arrives by the weekend, with moisture across the South and slowly pushes its way (slowly) into the late Sunday and Tuesday time frame. It appears that this will likely be more of a Monday to Tuesday event. High pressure as depicted on the models is present but leaving as moisture arrives, but a coastal low forms and another reinforcing shot of colder air (arctic high) is right on its wings. I think we are going to start getting into a pattern now that we are going to see more and more wintry events rather than liquid. This shot of cold air that we are receiving now is so brutal and rather unusual, even for Virginia standards during the winter, although it can happen. Im just having a hard time believing that the CAD (Cold Air Damming) will break down so easily. So I am writing you now with caution that this will *NOT* be a snow event. Its either a very cold rain, sleet or freezing rain event upcoming. However, given the repeated shots of colder air, I am NOT certain that this will be a cold rain event, and that includes I-95 corridor and Richmond as well. We will see over the coming days what happens as the models struggle, but finally start coming into some kind of agreement. These forecasts though for 40s and 50s for Central Virginia that you see pop up for next week will probably not verify. Just my opinion, but pretty valid one right now. -Denver
Posted on: Wed, 07 Jan 2015 19:24:02 +0000

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