According to my political analysis there could be 4 pre and post 14th Aug Scenarios after exercising article 245. 1) Army will force PTI to go back to their base to avoid law and order situation. Fortunately or unfortunately PTI can’t confront with army. 2) Army will ask PM to advise President to dissolve assemblies as situation is getting out of control and its a public opinion. Again PMLN will have to act accordingly and if they go against army, they are already in control. 3) Army will declare emergency or a martial law of some sort. 4) PMLN will announce to open all constituencies for audit. For me option 3 and 4 have very meager chances. Martial law is difficult due to war in tribal area and chance of option 4 is very few as they have already given the control to army. Now there are more chances that either we will see scenario 1 or scenario 2 on 14th Aug. Looking forward.
Posted on: Sat, 26 Jul 2014 12:26:26 +0000
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