Classification: UNCLASSIFIED Caveats: NONE Just in case you havent already received this. -----Original Message----- From: ONeal, Charles M (Charlie) NFG (US) Sent: Friday, November 15, 2013 1:45 PM To: ONeal, Charles M (Charlie) NFG (US) Subject: 17 November 2013 WARNING ORDER (UNCLASSIFIED) Classification: UNCLASSIFIED Caveats: NONE All Personnel; Please be advised this Warning Order is being sent relative to weather that is anticipated, beginning on Sunday, 17 November 2013. We are expecting rainfall amounts of 1 to 1 1/2 across the entire Commonwealth (with higher amounts around thunderstorms or area of training) but more so we are anticipating another significant wind event, similar in nature to the one on 31 October. During that storm, the Commonwealth had seven documented EF0 and EF1 tornadoes along with straight line winds that produced sporadic damages across the Commonwealth. In some areas, winds may gust to near 50 mph. These winds, along with the anticipated, additional rainfall may pose significant risks to above ground utility infrastructure and highways from falling trees. The ground remains well saturated from recent rainfall and even though many leaves are off the trees, winds may be sufficient to fall large tress due to loose soil. In addition, all loose items normally kept outdoors (lawn furniture, trash cans, etc.) should be secured to reduce the risk of their becoming a flying object that could cause residential or vehicular damage or personal injury. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the Commonwealth in a Slight risk category for severe weather on Sunday. Only far eastern/southeastern Kentucky is exempt from the risk area. The Louisville Office of the National Weather Service has posted the following information: Severe Weather Possible Sunday November 17 Strong low pressure crossing the Great Lakes will swing a cold front through southern Indiana and central Kentucky Sunday evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the day on Sunday, and then a line of strong to severe storms is expected to accompany the front late Sunday afternoon and early evening. Strong winds aloft suggest that strong, gusty winds will be likely with the evening storms. Strong wind shear, which is when winds at different levels of the atmosphere are from different directions and/or speeds, will be present and will lead to the possibility of tornadoes as well. As is usually the case at this time of year, the amount of instability that this system will have to work with is still in question. Right now, it appears that the instability with this system will be stronger than what we saw with the Halloween event...but the wind shear may be slightly less with this one compared to the Halloween storm. Nevertheless, severe weather looks like a good bet Sunday evening in southern Indiana and central Kentucky. Review your safety plan sometime today or tomorrow so that when the storm strikes, you will know exactly what to do. Be sure your NOAA Weather Radio is in good working order. The storms will be fast-moving so you may need to react very quickly. Weather Service Office Links for this Event: Wilmington, Ohio - erh.noaa.gov/iln/files/brf/ilnbrf.html Paducah, Kentucky - crh.noaa.gov/pah/?n=briefs Louisville, Kentucky - crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=98138&source=0 Jackson, Kentucky - crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=jkl&storyid=98143&source=0 Charleston, West Virginia - erh.noaa.gov/rlx/synop.php As with any weather system, this forecast has the potential to change, and change quickly. You are urged to keep abreast of developing weather conditions through your local media or other weather sources including the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office website for your area. Attached to this email, you will find the most current DMA Status Slide (produced by Mr., Harris and the J2) and an IAP for use should the EOC be activated. Additional Duty Officers are on alert to assist with incident reporting should the situation deteriorate during this event. We have multiple conference calls scheduled for this afternoon with FEMA and weather service offices. If additional information is made available during these calls, we will forward it via separate email. If an EOC activation is required, appropriate personnel will be notified to report for duty. Please make sure your personal/family/home emergency plan is ready for deployment and has been communicated to all family members for use should it be needed. Make sure your NOAA Weather Alert Radio is functioning and has fresh and spare batteries so it is still functional during power outages. Thank you for your continued support of the people of the Commonwealth and the programs of the Kentucky Division of Emergency Management. This message has been sent to Regional Response Managers, Regional Administrators, All Frankfort Staff, All Duty Officers, The Warning Order Distribution List, and to all local Emergency Management Directors. Please feel free to forward as appropriate. Thanks again, Charlie Charles M. ONeal, B.A., NREMT-P Assistant Division Director - Operations State Search and Rescue Coordinator Kentucky Emergency Management State Emergency Operations Center - Room 116 100 Minuteman Parkway Frankfort, Kentucky 40601 Office: 502-607-1601 Cell: 502-330-2243 Sprint Direct Connect - 120*2*60947 NEW EMAIL ADDRESS: [email protected] Classification: UNCLASSIFIED Caveats: NONE Classification: UNCLASSIFIED Caveats: NONE Classification: UNCLASSIFIED Caveats: NONE
Posted on: Sun, 17 Nov 2013 03:52:02 +0000
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