Current long range forecast modelling is suggesting that the active phase of the MJO due around the 20th of December, coupled with warm waters in the Coral Sea, may trigger development of anything from a deep surface trough to a weak tropical cyclone around December 20-24. This modelling is long range and is not good at predicting precise of exact events - it is more a tool for looking at broad scale patterns and should not be used to predict isolated events. The reason that I am putting this up is because I am interested in the performance of the long range model and I want to look at changes to the output from successive runs.
Posted on: Fri, 22 Nov 2013 20:00:13 +0000
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