De acordo com o Finantial Times, porque as 5 medidas da Dilma estão erradas, e quais as 5 medidas que deveriam ser tomadas (a chance disso acontecer, segundo o artigo, é ZERO sem a pressão constante da população). Dilma’s reforms: what she should do, and why she won’t Jun 25, 2013 9:13pm by Joe Leahy After a meeting with governors and mayors on Monday called in response to the biggest protests in Brazil in nearly a generation, President Dilma Rousseff announced five pacts ranging from political reform to better public health. Here is a list of the five, their likelihood of being effective (mostly very little), followed by a beyondbrics wishlist and its likelihood of happening (next to zero). Dilma’s pacts: Maintain fiscal responsibility – This was already deteriorating and it is hard to see how governments will maintain the line now with even greater pressure for better services following the protests. Plebiscite – hold a referendum to set up a constitutional assembly on political reform. Verdict: Unnecessary as Congress could implement political reform itself if it really wanted to. Likely to get lost in Brazil’s labyrinthine political system. Fight corruption through classifying graft as a heinous crime. A start but will make little difference without a functioning legal system (see below). Brazil has no shortage of good laws, it’s just a matter of implementing them. Accelerate investment in hospitals and clinics, import foreign doctors. Er … in government, isn’t this is called just doing your job? Still, better than nothing. R$50bn for investment in public transport. Haven’t we already established the issue in Brazil is not how much money you throw at a problem but implementation? Beyondbrics’ wishlist: Ministers – immediately slash the cabinet from 39 or 40 ministers presently to 15. Likelihood of happening – zero. In Brazilian politics no one wants to be in opposition. Present a coherent short, medium and long-term vision for the economy based on orthodox economics. Reshuffle the cabinet to include people with international, private sector experience at the highest level of business. Likelihood of happening – near zero. Would be too painful for vested interests. Could result in a short recession ahead of an election year. Insist to her Workers’ Party that all mensaleiros, those cadres sentenced to jail for corruption last year in Brazil’s biggest corruption case, immediately be suspended from Congress until the appeal process is concluded. Likelihood of happening? Near zero. Dilma cannot afford to confront the core of her party. Introduce reforms to speed up court cases so that none last for more than five years. Likelihood of happening? Close to zero. Congress would never have it – too many legislators are facing legal processes themselves. Reduce bureaucracy immediately by set targets. For instance, enable businesses to be opened in three days instead of 121. Likelihood? Not happening – Brazil’s tangled bureaucracy is stuck in a maze of red tape. The crux of the matter is that ultimately, it is not in the president’s political interests to be seen taking radical steps at this stage. That would be akin to admitting she is the problem. That is why she has sought to include Congress and the governors and mayors in a national dialogue. So where does that leave us? Where we started. Only direct, sustained public pressure on Brazil’s politicians of the kind seen this month will speed up the glacial pace of change in the system.
Posted on: Thu, 27 Jun 2013 11:43:34 +0000
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