Evacuate the Gulf...Geez, the GFS model certainly is scaring - TopicsExpress

Evacuate the Gulf...Geez, the GFS model certainly is scaring enough folks tonight. It continues to show a well developed circulation/Tropical Storm/Hurricane entering the Gulf early next week making landfall to our west neat Port Arthur/Beaumont. This is much farther west than this mornings landfall near Mobile. Hummm...this is the same model that back in June developed a Hurricane over the eastern Gulf. That didnt happen. What bothers me is its impossible to say where something is going before there is something to track. In other words, it hasnt formed yet...and it may not form. Do we just blow off the GFS model as an alarmists model? Perhaps, what Im saying is we should not get our anxiety levels out of wack before we need to. Sure well keep an eye out waiting for development...its mid August after all. But until there is something to track, a system that has a true center point, Ill be more focused on the heat wave that will make it dangerous to work outdoors for the next several days. Bob Breck

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