Everybody in the close Jammeh circles have this feeling that end is near. It is at times discussed in small circles while we drink ataya. Even top officials like Momodou Sabally have feelings of insecurity and wonder which society they’ll be accepted in. Imam Ablie Fatty and in fact most of the president’s closest confidants shares similar feelings. More junior staff are worried if they will be caught in the line of fire. Biggest scare is that no one knows how change will occur. Since it is not election year plus we all know very well change will not come with elections even if they were free and fair. Some Foni elders who can read signs of certain grass in the bushes say they indicate there will be change before the next rainy season. Some of my colleagues visited one of the president’s most trusted marabouts who out of the blue advised caution because he see sings that are not encouraging. He advised that the president must give out a lot of charity. One charity he advised was to free Amadou Sanneh as he is a man of God and keeping him in detention is going to bring curses on the president. He not only advised freeing him but to seek blessings through him by honouring him. What is very troubling about change is that the situation as is could be better than change due to the heavy price involved. Let me list some of the ways to achieve change: 1) To negotiate with the president and ask him to leave with his wealth to a place like Casamance, Saudi Arabia, Guniea or Morocco. This is the most popular option amongst the president’s closest buddies but nobody dares suggest it to him. This has to be communicated to the president and trust me this is the best option in my opinion. 2) Military uprising. This is very unlikely because the most powerful and most well equipped soldiers are foreigners. They have nowhere to go post Jammeh and all their enjoyment and care free attitude will come to an end. I pray that this never happens because the death toll in one week will be more than if Jammeh were to rule for another 50 years! Please don’t try this. 3) Civilian uprising like what happened in Egypt and Tunisia. Jammeh has clearly ordered the army and especially his trusted and reliable ones most of whom are not Gambians to kill anybody who dares to try what happened in the Arab world and to shoot until they run out of bullets. This is also not a good idea because thousands if not tens of thousands will die before Gambia is rescued by the international community. 4) Like I said, it is not election year but if we were to wait till 2016 and say Jammeh is beaten (I can’t see this happen) he will play a Laurent Gbagbo and will not relinquish power. This is for sure. However the elections will not be free and fair in the first place. We all know he didn’t win 72% of the votes last term out. 5) There is a fifth option which is the easiest and the only person that will die is Jammeh. I will not elaborate further so don’t even ask. Post mortem will tell. The aftermath will be very chaotic though as we will be without a replacement. Yes, definitely not the VP. Everyone close to Jammeh, all cabinet ministers, the entire Supreme Islamic Council, the Independent Electoral Commission, most GRTS staff will run away. Most of these people are already feeling insecure should change occur. Another big problem is what will the new government do with the thousands of foreign soldiers who are well trained and know the secret places where the most dangerous armory are hidden. This is a serious problem no matter how change occurs. Anyway, we are in a bigger mess than most people think and it is worth making a lot of prayers to save our country.
Posted on: Wed, 13 Nov 2013 01:31:00 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015