Good Thursday morning! Its already a BUSY morning around here with flooding rain ongoing over the southwestern and far southern TX Panhandle! Our Ashley Furniture SchoolNet sites at the Plateau Office in Farwell and the Russ Farms, located 4 miles SSW of Plainview...have received .75 to .8 of an inch of rain in 15-20 minutes time! Both sites have now had over 1.5 to 2 of rain (as of 5:25am...but it is still raining!) and remember that you can follow along and watch these hefty rainfall totals yourself by using either our SchoolNet app (available on iPhones/iPads in the App Store or Google Play for Android phones...just search for KVII) or on our website at connectamarillo/weather/schoolnet. The forecast has changed in a BIG way for next week...but Ill get to that in a minute. Lets start off talking about today. The National Weather Service office in Lubbock has issued a Flash Flood WATCH that will stay in effect until 7pm tonight (and will probably be extended) for Parmer, Castro, Swisher and Briscoe counties. More than likely, a Flash Flood WATCH will be issued for Curry and Roosevelt counties in Eastern NM. We will have to wait and see if the WATCH is expanded more into the TX Panhandle. Our KVII Computer Model is the driest when it comes to rain for our area. The HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh Model) is indicating another round of rain developing over Eastern NM and heading this way at 3pm CDT. You can see that one thing is clear about todays weather...the OK Panhandle will stay mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs in the 80s to around 90s with Eastern NM and the far southern TX Panhandle cloudy and WET! Winds will blow from the south and southeast at 10-20 mph today...but could be variable and gusty both in and near the t-storms! By the way, check out the European Computer Models Deterministic Model indicates...4.5 of rain for Amarillo! No Joke! We will wait and see, but that shows you the potential of this storm system to produce extremely heavy rain for our area! Tonight, the wave of rain and t-storms associated with whats left of Odile will continue to head our way with more flooding rainfall possible....mainly over the southern TX Panhandle. Some rain is possible over the northern TX Panhandle and perhaps, the OK Panhandle, but in these locations, the rain chances will be slimmer. Overnight lows in the 60s are likely as southeasterly winds at 5-15 mph prevail. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. What about tomorrows weather? Again, our KVII Computer Model and the NAM (North American Model) are somewhat drier than the sopping wet European, GFS (Global Forecast System) and the Canadian computer model. They have a widespread swath of rain that will take up most of the area...including the OK Panhandle. Due to the fact that this rain is directly associated with whats left of Odile, the rain could be VERY heavy and dump 1-3 in less than an hour and potentially...more rain than that! High temperatures will be kept in the 70s to around 80 degrees tomorrow as southerly and southeasterly winds at 10-20 mph prevail. Rain and t-storms will also be possible on Saturday as the remnants of Odile and a weak cold front moves through. Scattered to numerous showers and t-storms are expected and more, heavy rainfall is possible. High temperatures in the 70s to around 80 degrees are possible as southerly winds at 5-15 mph in the morning shift around to the northeast at 5-15 mph as the weak cold front pushes through. The forecast changes that I talked about before...here they come! Now, it appears that the combination of two factors will keep rain and t-storms around longer than we thought yesterday. First, an approaching upper-level disturbance (pockets of cold air aloft) over the Rockies and the remnants of Odile NOT moving away as fast as we thought...mean that rain and t-storms will be linger and be scattered across the area on Sunday. High temperatures in the upper 60s to the upper 70s are expected as light east winds at 5-15 mph prevail. Monday will also feature widely scattered showers and t-storms with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 60s to the mid 70s by late day. Winds will blow from the east at 5-15 mph in the morning, then the southeast in the afternoon at 5-15 mph. Tuesday through Thursday? More of the same, it appears! Widely scattered showers and t-storms will linger all three days with high temperatures rising into the 70s each day with overnight lows in the 50s. Winds will blow from the south and southeast on Tuesday at 5-15 mph...then increase to the 10-20 mph range from the south on Wednesday and Thursday. Enjoy the rain and stay safe! Remember, flash flooding is THE biggest weather-related killer in the United States...so turn around, dont drown!
Posted on: Thu, 18 Sep 2014 10:51:34 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015