Interplanetary Shocks, M-Flaring Continues on November 4th, - TopicsExpress



          

Interplanetary Shocks, M-Flaring Continues on November 4th, 2014: ACE Solar Wind telemetry shows that the speed (yellow) is around 415 km/s, while the density (orange) is above average between 8 to 9 protons/cm^3 as of 09:27 UTC this morning. The Bz (red component) of the Earths magnetic field has been tipping South since about 05:00 UTC, reaching a southward maximum of -10 nT around 08:00 UTC this morning. This Southward Bz coincides with the Phi Angle (blue component) changing from a predominantly negative sector (toward the Sun flow) to a mostly positive sector (away from the Sun flow) just after 06:00 UTC this morning. According to SpaceWeather: When Bz is south, that is, opposite Earths magnetic field, the two fields link up, explains Christopher Russell, a Professor of Geophysics and Space Physics at UCLA. You can then follow a field line from Earth directly into the solar wind -- or from the solar wind to Earth. South-pointing Bzs open a door through which energy from the solar wind can reach Earths atmosphere! Read, See More: spaceweather/glossary/imf.html Meanwhile, ACEs Real-Time Shock Page shows that the Earth has been hit by five separate interplanetary shocks so far today, with the most recent impacting Earth at 08:15 UTC this morning. NOAAs Satellite Environment shows the start of a minor perturbation to the Earths magnetic field, as the KP-Index is at an Active KP-3 as of 06:00 UTC this morning. GOES Magnetometer and Electron Flux show the impact of the relatively high speed stream of solar wind from a positive coronal hole, while the elevated density and Southward Bz are also taking their toll on the Earths shields. NOAAs Forecast Discussion suggests that, Solar wind parameters may reflect the influence of a positive coronal hole high speed stream on day 1 (04 Nov), but any effects should be short-lived...The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled through the period, with a chance for active conditions. Read, See More: swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/forecast_discussion.txt TESIS Sun Flare Monitor (GOES-15) recorded a total of seven Solar Flares yesterday, with the largest being of M6.5-Class intensity out of the new, incoming Active Region 2205 on the northeastern limb of the Solar Disc. So far today, TESIS has recorded four Solar Flares, with the largest being a M2.6-Class Flare that peaked at 08:38 UTC from incoming AR 2205 on the northeastern limb. The Sunspot Number is up to 93 today, it was at 91 yesterday and was down at 82 on November 2nd. NOAAs Forecasters are predicting a 25% chance of M-Flares and a 1% chance of X-Flares over the next 24-hours. Dr. Tony Phillips, of SpaceWeather, is reporting on the new incoming Active Region: SOMETHING IS COMING: None of the sunspots on the Earthside of the sun are actively flaring. A sunspot just around the bend, however, could break the quiet. Earth-orbiting satellites are detecting flare activity behind the suns northeastern limb...In summary, something is coming. Soon, the suns rotation will carry this active region into view and it will be possible to assess its potential for more flares. Stay tuned for updates. Solar flare alerts: text, voice… Read, See More: spaceweather/archive.php?view=1&day=04&month=11&year=2014 Image Sources: sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ spaceweather/ swpc.noaa.gov/drap/ n3kl.org/sun/noaa.html swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/ neutronm.bartol.udel.edu//spaceweather/welcome.html space-env.esa.int/index.php/Daily-Sun-Spot-Number.html srl.caltech.edu/ACE/ASC/DATA/Shocks/index.html swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/forecast_discussion.txt tesis.lebedev.ru/en/sun_flares.html?m=11&d=4&y=2014 Riometer Data: irf.se//Observatory/?link=Riometers Schuhmann Resonance Data: sosrff.tsu.ru/new/shm.jpg NOAAs Sunspot Classification: swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/SRS.txt NOAAs Aurora: swpc.noaa.gov/Aurora/ NOAAs Forecast: swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/forecast_discussion.txt ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yesterdays News: https://youtube/watch?v=MrTv1CTQHCo Daily News: suspicious0bserverscollective.org/daily-news.html Evening News: suspicious0bservers.org/premium/ Solar Sector Boundary Crossing - Research Notes suspicious0bserverscollective.org/the-blog/solar-sector-boundary-crossing-on-february-1st-2014-research-notes S0s Update: Rapid Geomagnetic Reversal Possibility: Confirmed suspicious0bserverscollective.org/the-blog/suspicious0bservers-update-rapid-geomagnetic-reversal-possibility-confirmed Suspicious0bservers Update: EARTHSPOTS: Storms & Earthquakes suspicious0bserverscollective.org/the-blog/suspicious0bservers-update-earthspots-storms-and-earthquakes-daily-news Geomagnetic Storms - Definitions, Consequences & Research Notes suspicious0bserverscollective.org/the-blog/geomagnetic-storms-definition-consequences-research-notes Space Weather & Heart Health: Geomagnetic Storms vs. Zero Level GMA suspicious0bserverscollective.org/the-blog/space-weather-heart-health-geomagnetic-storms-vs-zero-level-gma1 Space Weather & Geomagnetic Storms - Headaches, Changes in BP suspicious0bserverscollective.org/the-blog/space-weather-geomagnetic-storms-headaches-changes-in-blood-pressure
Posted on: Tue, 04 Nov 2014 10:19:30 +0000

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