MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE CAP WILL ERODE AROUND 21Z - TopicsExpress

MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE CAP WILL ERODE AROUND 21Z TOMORROW IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA LEADING TO STORM INITIATION. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE BEST DYNAMICS AND MID LEVEL WINDS WILL PUSH OFF TO OUR EAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT...SO THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESSENED. HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT DO INITIATE WILL MOST LIKELY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION...PW VALUES WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES AREAWIDE ADDING A SECONDARY THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING.

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