Monsoon update of SAARC member countries including Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan and Sri Lanka Monsoon 2014 Prediction (May-August, 2014): Current synoptic situation and its variation indicate that below normal rainfall is expected during upcoming monsoon season. Monsoon starts in June with full swing and then probably it becomes week by the time as by prevailing El Nino matureness. Afghanistan: May is likely to be wet month with 3-4 spells (receive rainfall > 0.6 mm/day in whole coutnry. Bangladesh: Monsoon currents are likely to prevail from last week of May and become strengthening from Ist June. First two decade of June are likely to be wet. Bhutan: Monsoon rainfall starts from Ist week of June. Two to three spell are expected during June. Havey rainfall is expected during July and Ist week of August. India: Monsoon starts on Ist week of June will slow pace and gradually increase intensity of rainfall. Good rainy spells are expected during June. Rainfall intensity will be less from June during month of July. Chances of flood in the country will be on higher side. Nepal: Monsoon rain starts in mid of June and increase rainfall intensity gradually. Good rainy spells are expected from second week of July to second week of August. Pakistan: Monsoon starts from 21-23 June, which will be one week in advance as per official date of arrival of monsoon in the country. Good rainy spells are expected during first two week of August. Chances of flood can’t be ruled out in August. Sri Lanka: Good heavy spells of rainfall are expected during last decade of May (21-30). However, no exceptional rainy spells are expected during June and July. 1st decade of August will receive good rains in the country.
Posted on: Thu, 08 May 2014 03:30:23 +0000
Trending Topics
© 2015