Severe weather threat looks marginal at this point: Models have - TopicsExpress

Severe weather threat looks marginal at this point: Models have gained better agreement on the wind profiles and instability, and the morning model runs have really backed off on wind shear and instability. With Surface-based CAPE values barely reaching 1,000 J/kg and ML CAPE values under 500 J/kg for most of the days. Regardless of marginal instability, thunderstorms still may occur. There is a chance of storms from Sunday night to Tuesday night. For the most part these will be capable of very heavy rainfall. ~Jason

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